The Political Science Department of the University of Costa Rica published the results of a public opinion survey about the referendum on Thursday in which 35.7 % of the respondents said they would vote no on the day of the referendum, and 34,5% yes. Due to the margin of error this is technically a tie, but the important thing here is the trend. The yes camp has been gradually and continuously loosing support (from 46,8 in 2005, to 39% in MArch 2007, to now), while the NO camp has been growing (from 21% in 2005, to 33% MArch 2007). At the same time, the number of the undecided has grown by about five percent 32.5%. Since the majority of those who have not yet decided said they planned to vote, it will probably be those people that decide the referendum. The national sample included 807 respondents. For some reason I can't link to the press release, so I pasted the URL in above in case you want to read it.
Link to the press release: http://www.ucr.ac.cr/documentos/Informe_Encuesta_sobre_TLC_19-09-07.pdf
9/24/2007
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